Mikael Bask

Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor at Department of Economics, Senior Faculty

Visiting address:
Kyrkogårdsgatan 10

Postal address:
Box 513
751 20 UPPSALA

Short presentation

Ph.D. in Economics.
Docent in Economics.
Docent in Financial Economics.

See my homepage for my CV.

Keywords: financial economics macroeconomics

Three representative research areas and six representative papers of mine

Measuring the stability of a stochastic dynamic system

The stability of a dynamic system should be contrasted with the volatility of the time series generated by the system. In Bask and de Luna (2002), this idea is developed theoretically by presenting not only a measure of the stability of a stochastic dynamic system but also a consistent estimator of the proposed measure. The idea is further refined and called (λ,σ^2)-analysis in Bask (2010). The proposed method in Bask and de Luna (2002) and Bask (2010) is a recurrent theme in my research.

Bask M. and de Luna X. (2002). Characterizing the Degree of Stability of Non-Linear Dynamic Models. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 6 (1) article 3.

Bask M. (2010). Measuring Potential Market Risk. Journal of Financial Stability, 6, 180-186.

Inequality-generating mechanisms in society

In Bask and Bask (2015), we present definitions of two central concepts in the literature on inequality-generating mechanisms in society – cumulative (dis)advantage and the Matthew effect – and argue that an interaction-based model in the tradition of analytical sociology and statistical mechanics might explain cumulative (dis)advantage and the Matthew effect when detected in the data. In Bask and Bask (2014), we sketch the structure of such a model. There is a kinship with this research and the research that I have carried out on the measurement of the stability of a stochastic dynamic system.

Bask M. and Bask M. (2014). Social Influence and the Matthew Mechanism: The Case of an Artificial Cultural Market. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 412, 113-119.

Bask M. and Bask M. (2015). Cumulative (Dis)advantage and the Matthew Effect in Life-Course Analysis. PLOS ONE, 10 (11) e0142447.

Selecting the relevant equilibria in a model

Examining whether the equilibria in a model are learnable is a way of reducing the number of relevant equilibria if the number is large. However, it is not always the case that learnability successfully reduces the number of relevant equilibria in a model. Two articles of mine focus on this problem. In Bask (2008), a continuity condition is presented, which implies that only one equilibrium in the model is relevant. The model being studied is an exchange rate model augmented with technical trading in exchange rates in the form of moving averages, which gives rise to a model with a large number of learnable equilibria in the least-squares sense. In Bask (2009), the announcement effects on exchange rates in which the aforementioned continuity condition is used are studied. The model being studied is the same as that in the previous article.

Bask M. (2008). Adaptive Learning in an Expectational Difference Equation with Several Lags: Selecting among Learnable REE. European Financial Management, 14, 99-117.

Bask M. (2009). Announcement Effects on Exchange Rates. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 14, 64-84.

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Mikael Bask